نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

• فهیمه ترکمانی ¹
• حسین پیری صحراگرد ²
• محمدرضا پهلوان راد ³
• محمد نهتانی ²

¹ کارشناسی ارشد، گروه مرتع و آبخیزداری، دانشکده آب و خاک، دانشگاه زابل، زابل، ایران

² استادیار، گروه مرتع و آبخیزداری، دانشکده آب و خاک، دانشگاه زابل، زابل، ایران

³ استادیار، بخش تحقیقات خاک و آب، مرکز تحقیقات و آموزش کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی گلستان، سازمان تحقیقات، آموزش و ترویج کشاورزی، گرگان، گرگان، ایران

چکیده

ﺷﻨﺎﺧﺖ ﺗﻐﯿﯿﺮات ﻣﮑﺎﻧﯽ کربن­آلی خاک ﺟﻬﺖ ﻣﺪﯾﺮﯾﺖ و ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪرﯾﺰی ﺻﺤﯿﺢ ﻋﻤﻠﯿﺎت ﮐﺸﺎورزی و منابع طبیعی ضروری است. پژوهش حاضر با هدف تهیه نقشه توزیع مکانی کربن­آلی خاک و تعیین مهمترین متغیرهای مؤثر بر پیش­بینی آن­ در حوضه­آبخیز راونگ شهرستان میناب با استفاده از مدل جنگل تصادفی انجام شد. برای این منظور، ابتدا متغیرهای محیطی از مدل رقومی ارتفاع و تصاویر ماهواره­ای لندست 8 استخراج شد. نقشه­های کاربری اراضی، ویژگی­های خاک و pH نیز به­عنوان متغیر کمکی استفاده شد. برای تعیین محل نقاط نمونه­برداری از تکنیک ابر مکعب مربع لاتین مشروط استفاده شد. نمونه­برداری از عمق 30-0 سانتی­متری لایه سطحی خاک در 100نقطه انجام و مقدار کربن آلی خاک اندازه­گیری شد. بر اساس نتایج، متغیرهای مستخرج از مدل رقومی ارتفاع مانند ارتفاع، سطح پایه شبکه کانال و شیب و ویژگی­های خاک مانند لای و ماسه خاک بیشترین تأثیر را در مدل­سازی توزیع مکانی کربن­آلی خاک در حوضه آبخیر راونگ دارند. علاوه بر این، در بیشتر سطح منطقه مورد مطالعه مقدار کربن آلی خاک کمتر از 5/0 درصد است (میانگین 38/0). در مجموع نتایج بیانگر آن است که توزیع مکانی کربن آلی خاک از تغییرپذیری مکانی زیادی  برخوردار است. بنابراین، برنامه­ریزی جامع منابع آب و خاک منطقه جهت جلوگیری از تخریب و فرسایش بیشتر خاک در منطقه راونگ ضروری است. 

کلیدواژه‌ها

• کربن‌آلی خاک
• جنگل تصادفی
• نقشه‌برداری رقومی خاک منطقه راونگ

عنوان مقاله [English]

Determination of soil organic carbon distribution along with affecting factors using random forest model in Ravang Minab watershed

نویسندگان [English]

• F. Torkamani ¹
• H. Piri Sahragard ²
• M.R. Pahlavan Rad ³
• M. Nohtani ²

¹ M.Sc. Graduated, Rangeland and Watershed Department, Water and Soil Faculaty, University of Zabol, Zabol, Iran

² Assistant Professor, Rangeland and Watershed Department, Water and Soil Faculaty, University of Zabol, Zabol, Iran

³ Assistant Professor, Soil and Water Research Department, Golestan Agricultural and Natural Resources Research and Education Center, Agricultural Research, Education and Extension Organization (AREEO), Gorgan, Gorgan, Iran

چکیده [English]

Introduction Spatial variations of soil properties is a natural event, which recognizing these changes is inevitable in order to planning and right management of both agricultural and natural resources. Soil organic carbon (SOC) is the most important factor in soil fertility and quality, climate change and reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. Furthermore, evaluating the rates and spatial distribution of the soil properties, land improvement and restoration can be traced from the carbon sequestration index. According to the above, providing quantitative and qualitative conservation of soil properties such as SOC can be considered an effective way to achieve sustainable development of natural and environmental resources. Digital soil mapping (DSM) can determine the spatial variations of soil organic carbon by exploring the relationship between soil properties and effective environmental variables. Different statistical models such as regression trees and random forest are used in order to communicate between soil characteristics and its spatial distribution. The present study was carried out to investigate the spatial distribution of SOC, as well as, to determine the most important variables affecting their prediction in Ravang watershed in Minab County.
Materials and MethodsRavang watershed with an area of 13821.6 hectares is located in Hormozgan province, Minab city. The maximum and minimum elevations are 357 and 33 meters, respectively. Digital Elevation Model of Ravang watershed was used to extract 17 environmental covariates (such as elevation, aspect, slope, valley depth,…) by SAGA software (http://www.gdem.aster.ersdac.or). Moreover, two environmental covariates related to remote sensing including Normalized Difference Salinity Index (NDSI) and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) were determined in the study area. In addition, the maps of land use, sand, silt, clay and pH were used as covariates in modeling. In order to determining the location of sampling points, the conditioned hyper-cube technique was used. After determining of soil sample location, field sampling was carried out at a depth of 0-30 cm. then, 100 soil samples were taken and the amount of SOC was measured. Random forest model was applied to the relationship between SOC and covariates. The model includes two user-defined parameters, including the number of variables used in the construction of each tree, which expresses the power of each independent tree and the number of trees in each forest. Considering the strength of independent trees, the predictive accuracy of the model increases, conversely, the correlation between them will decrease. The accuracy of the soil organic carbon distribution was also evaluated using root mean square error (RMSE), mean error (ME) and correlation coefficient (R²), which were determined.
Results and Discussion Based on the present study results, elevation, soil silt and sand maps, channel network base level, slope and NDVI are the most important factors on predicting the of SOC variations. The results indicated that RMSE, ME and R² were 0.36, 0.26 and 0.38, respectively .Results also showed that affecting erosion and sediment, as well as, human effect, have the most impact on the SOC soil spatial distribution in the Ravang watershed. Moreover, result show SOC deficiency in the soil of Ravang watershed due to high salinity, low percent of vegetation cover and land use changes. In addition, drought intensifying and decrease in precipitation have reduced SOC content, which itself causes changes in the texture and chemical properties of the soil and, as a consequence, makes them more susceptible to erosion.
Conclusion The variability of SOC is very high in the study area because of intensive water erosion and land use change. Overall, the results of the present study indicated that the critical condition of soil organic carbon in the Ravang watershed, which requires a comprehensive management of the region's water and soil resources to improve soil conditions and increase the reserves of this important and influential variable in the soil structure. On the other hand, despite of the acceptable performance of the random forest model in estimating of soil properties, due to high variability of some soil properties, model prediction performance may be decreased. 

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

• Soil organic carbon
• Random forest
• Soil digital mapping
• Ravang watershed